33% chance of a major Earthquake striking in the next 50 years.
- Chris Goldfiner, leading expert on tectonic activity/professor at Oregon State
72% chance of 6.7 or larger earthquake and 50% chance of a 7.0+ magnitude earthquake over the next 30 years.
- United States Geological Survey (California Earthquake Rupture Forecast)
93% chance of 7.0 and 48% chance of a 7.5 magnitude or larger earthquake over next 30 years.